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Two be, or not 2 be for final?



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EX-Racing Post and Sporting Life man Bill Esdaile brings you his weekly betting column.
There have been some funny results over the past week with fancied sides Holland and Croatia both dumped out at the quarter-final stage of Euro 2008.

Spain are to take on Germany in the final and it isn't easy to identify the winner.

The Germans, as we all know, are the team to follow at major competitions and even though they haven't looked breathtaking in this competition, they always seem to deliver.

Turkey dominated in their quarter-final clash, but it was the Germans who emerged victorious.

It would be folly for me to suggest tipping a German victory or defeat on Siunday, but there is some statistical evidence that suggests we can still have a bet at this early stage.

Germany's last two games have seen five goals a-piece, but recent finals have been very different and I'm not expecting as many goals to be scored in 90 minutes.

The last final between Portugal and Greece at Euro 2004 saw one solitary goal but there has never been a goalless final in the 12 tournaments.

Interestingly for goals punters, prior to the last competition in Portugal, the previous five finals had seen exactly two goals in regular time (three were settled with 2-0 victories, while two had to go to extra-time after 1-1 draws).

Boylesports offer odds on under two goals, exactly two goals and more than two goals and I would recommend backing exactly two goals at around 9/4.

The last three finals have all seen no goals scored before half-time so it is also worth backing the 0-0 half-time scoreline at 6/4 and half-time draw at EVS.

  • One of the biggest handicaps of the flat season takes place at Newcastle tomorrow, as 20 runners line up for the Northumberland Plate.


  • I like the look of Michael Jarvis' Bukit Tinggi at around 6/1, who looked the winner turning into the straight at Ascot last week, but just didn't have the stamina for the 2.5 mile trip.

    He has a light weight and as long as that race hasn't left its mark, he should go very close.

    Epsom Derby winner New Approach attempts to complete the English-Irish double at the Curragh on Sunday and although he has a favourite's chance, his biggest danger is without doubt Tartan Bearer.

    Sir Michael Stoute's runner was a gallant second to New Approach at Epsom and he continues to improve with every run.

    He was staying on at the death and he may just manage to go past Jim Bolger's charge in this one, so back him at around 4.7 (7/2) on Betdaq.

    The full article contains 469 words and appears in Hartlepool Mail newspaper.
    Page 1 of 1

    • Last Updated: 27 June 2008 12:17 PM
    • Source: Hartlepool Mail
    • Location: Hartlepool
     
     
      

     
     

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