GUS POYET believes the three sides relegated from the Premier League will come from the current bottom four.
Five points separate basement boys Fulham from fourth bottom West Brom, with Crystal Palace lying a further two points ahead of the Baggies.
Sunderland are only a point better off than Fulham, albeit with at least one game in hand on their relegation rivals, ahead of four daunting encounters against top six outfits Spurs, Everton, Manchester City and Chelsea.
Black Cats head coach Poyet believes three wins may be sufficient to beat the drop, but admits he struggles to look much further up the table than leapfrogging both Cardiff and West Brom.
Poyet said today: “It’s no secret that it’s going to be between four. I can’t see five getting involved, depending on the next three weeks.
“We need to win three games somehow.
“The situation is simple. Nobody can see any of the bottom four or five winning 3 games.
“You need to go against that and try to win three or four.
“I can’t focus on what is coming after, because I can’t think about it.”
Sunderland need to get their survival quest up and running again at Poyet’s former club Tottenham on Monday night after taking just one point from the last six league games.
Spurs, like Sunderland, are struggling for form after a solitary win from their last six outings in all competitions.
But Poyet believes Spurs boss and former team-mate Tim Sherwood is the right man to take the White Hart Lane outfit forwards.
“There are plenty of similarities between the two clubs,” added Poyet.
“We’ve got 13 or 14 new players, they’ve got 7 or eight and changed managers in the middle of the season.
“It was a pleasure to be on the pitch in the same team with Tim. I felt secure with Tim Sherwood in my team.
“I think he’s got a chance because he knows the club and knows the players better than anyone.”